Try demo Open account
Trading
CFD
Binaries
Crypto
Banking
B2B
Market info
About
Try demo Open account

Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q3 2026: Real GDP Growth Tracking at 5.1%

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
As of September 17, 2026, the Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model estimates Q3 real GDP growth at an annualized rate of 5.1%, operating purely as an objective, data-driven tracker without subjective policy adjustments. Growth is primarily powered by strong personal consumption (+2.82 percentage points) and private inventory rebuilding (+2.03 percentage points), along with a 17.4% surge in business equipment spending (+0.96 percentage points). These contributions are partially offset by net exports, which create a 1.38 percentage point drag due to rising imports and falling exports


  • Top-Line Estimate: Q3 2026 real GDP growth is tracking at 5.1% (fluctuating between 4.0% and 6.2% over the Q3 tracking period).
  • Main Growth Engine: Personal consumption (+2.82 pp) and private inventory changes (+2.03 pp) generate over 90% of the projected expansion. 
  • Investment vs. Trade Drag: Equipment spending expanded at 17.4% (+0.96 pp), while net exports subtracted 1.38 percentage points. Purely Mathematical Model: GDPNow updates strictly according to incoming economic releases rather than subjective human forecasting.
Back to articles

Actual Topics

30 Sep 2026

Australia August 2026 CPI Highlights: Inflation Accelerates to 4.0% Amid Rising Housing Costs

Australia's annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation accelerated to 4.0% in the 12 months to August 2026, rising from 3.5% in July, with headline monthly price increases recorded at 0.4% in original terms and 0.7% seasonally adjusted. In contrast, underlying core inflation remained steady, with the annual trimmed mean holding at 3.6% for the second consecutive month. Price pressures were

24 Sep 2026

SNB Holds Policy Rate at 0% Amid Energy-Driven Inflation

The Swiss National Bank (SNB) decided on 24 September 2026 to leave its policy rate unchanged at 0%, maintaining the sight deposit discount at 0.25 percentage points above the threshold and reaffirming its readiness to intervene in the foreign exchange market as necessary. Driven largely by higher oil and energy prices, Swiss inflation rose to 0.8% in August 2026. The

22 Sep 2026

August 2026 UK Public Finances: Widening OBR Deficit and Record Debt-Servicing Costs

The August 2026 UK Public Sector Finances release shows a substantial deterioration against official forecasts, driven by record debt-servicing costs and mounting spending pressures. Monthly public sector net borrowing reached £18.3 billion—up £2.9 billion year-on-year and £3.5 billion higher than the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) profile, marking the second-highest August figure on record behind 2020. This pushes the financial